Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 6.690962 7.384579 8.154691 9.080058 10.171142 11.428623 13.005209
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 5.602876 6.513436 7.609434 9.052470 10.944898 13.407551 16.974177
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.901781 5.878776 7.114500 8.840174 11.273029 14.730354 20.338396
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.469584 5.491483 6.835470 8.804527 11.756099 16.293094 24.492711
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.130654 5.173690 6.589410 8.747751 12.157956 17.782492 29.055286
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.945100 5.035946 6.563866 8.990008 13.042523 20.266629 36.625678
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.646879 4.710005 6.228516 8.702825 12.988460 21.041410 40.957619
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.382931 4.410529 5.901813 8.384066 12.816593 21.534043 44.893496
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.181882 4.186764 5.668011 8.186321 12.824215 22.388487 50.364870
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.043912 4.045452 5.547161 8.160858 13.145200 24.007015 59.405018
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.040609 4.103878 5.741022 8.698414 14.667636 28.955307 85.900739
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.969675 4.052720 5.752650 8.908900 15.560300 32.718508 114.573239
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.814319 3.871146 5.552969 8.738685 15.671402 34.622621 140.040517
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.694403 3.740258 5.431601 8.711933 16.132529 37.944519 188.269777
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.557709 3.573361 5.234601 8.511352 16.135903 39.810717 235.530725
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.460312 3.463790 5.127668 8.477662 16.549876 43.444472 333.665548
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.368484 3.357575 5.017913 8.423994 16.902798 47.148717 489.916530
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.324597 3.327667 5.041251 8.652922 18.086347 55.506237 1069.261749
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.215679 3.182598 4.844641 8.381522 17.781977 56.598420 1480.807131
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.110442 3.039123 4.642771 8.079995 17.336368 56.757099 1959.789080
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.027298 2.929654 4.497795 7.892786 17.206167 58.673756 3313.868048
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.970435 2.862543 4.427827 7.868670 17.580766 63.998833 12197.108413
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.980840 2.911614 4.580210 8.377351 19.832767 85.236133 NaN